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Four Round Mock Draft
Joe Thomas
OT * Wisconsin * Height: 6-6 5/8 * Weight: 311 * 40-Time: 4.92
I'll be honest, I've toiled over the position of my top 5 over and over. I've changed it over a hundred times it seems, and originally I had Joe Thomas here, and my gut says they pick him. Should I taken into consideration the last first rounder they drafted that opted to stay home for the draft and not come to New York is no longer with the team (Joey Harrington anyone?)? Normally yes, I would…and it nags at me, but not so much. He'd rather spend quality time with his father salmon fishing than in the glitzy eye of the New York media. Good for him.
Thomas is a manbeast, and everyone knows it. Mike Martz is an offensive genius, and as much as I know he'd love to take Brady Quinn, if you can't protect your QB it doesn't matter who you have at the helm. Kurt Warner and Marc Bulger didn't get that good without Orlando Pace protecting them, which is why they grab this need now.
The Lions have three good QBs: Jon Kitna (who is more than adequate but isn't the future of the franchise), Josh McCown, and Dan Orlovsky from UConn, who Martz has been said to favor, but hasn't quite stolen the position from anyone yet.
The Lions will stay away from Adrian Peterson, as they already have Kevin Jones and Tatum Bell among others to fight for the position. Matt Millen would be committing career suicide I think if he drafted yet another Wide Receiver with the first pick, even though Calvin Johnson is light years ahead of where both Mike Williams from USC and Charles Rogers from Michigan State were.
The overall consensus is that Thomas is even better than D'Brickashaw Ferguson, and has that Midwest meanstreak to prove it. Not bad if you're the Lions. He will surely protect whoever is his QB and opened up lanes on the outside for whoever they have running the ball. He's strong (28 reps in the bench) and fast for such a big guy (4.92 in the 40). Overall, he's the best and safest prospect for the Lions. He could definitely improve his run blocking, but the same was said about Orlando Pace at the beginning of his career as well.
Cleveland Browns
Brady Quinn
QB * Notre Dame * Height: 6-3 3/4 * Weight: 232 * 40-Time: 4.73
Cleveland is in a fairly sweet spot believe it or not. They have the luxury of not needing to trade up, because well they need every position. If Quinn is still on the board, I think Romeo Crennel will drool and snag him immediately. Afterall, Quinn's mentor is close friend Charlie Weiss, and if anyone know Weis and has been talking to him with any regularity after the season ended, it's Crennel.
If both Russell and Quinn are gone, they could easily select Thomas, Peterson, or Johnson. Johnson would help open up Braylon Edwards, Peterson would give them a stable runner, and Thomas would give them someone to help a decent offensive line that could get a lot better if LeCharles Bentley gets healthy and recovers from injury.
Quinn, in my opinion, is the best QB in the draft by far. He has it all: he can throw a beautiful deep ball, throw on the run, move if needed, put touch on the ball, read complex defenses, and when you need it, he knows how to lead his team to a comeback when needed. Sometimes he gets too weary/Michael Vick-esque in the pocket, and drifts from his progressions which leads to trouble. Sometimes he'll force throws but has a knack for not throwing interceptions when his team needs to protect the ball.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Calvin Johnson
WR * Georgia Tech * Height: 6-5 * Weight: 239 * 40-Time: 4.35
John Gruden needs Calvin Johnson to be a Buc. Joey Galloway needs Calvin Johnson to be a Buc.
By far, he is the most talented player at any position in the draft. He is a physical specimen, someone that every team (except maybe Detroit) is drooling over. He has the height, the size, the hands, and the speed. Probably the most reported tidbit from this years Combine was that Johnson wasn't scheduled to run the 40, as he wanted to wait for his pro day. Because of this he didn't bring any cleats. He had a change of heart at the last second, borrowed a pair of cleats from a East Carolina Quarterback friend James Pinkney and blazed a 4.35.
As I said earlier, Oakland is looking to trade with Detroit so they can get Calvin there and a QB to throw to him in the deal, but that is doubtful as it helps Oakland a lot more than it does Detroit.
Gruden has a great love for stud receivers that have all the tools that Calvin has. This is a win-win for the Bucs and Johnson if he is still available, as Johnson will get a true offensive minded coach that will make the most of his abilities and the Bucs will get one of the most dynamic threats available in the Draft and cause dizzying mismatches. Because of this very reason, the Bucs could potentially jump up to the 1 or 2 spot, with Detroit looking more likely as they have a plethora of quarterbacks to give up as well as this pick to move up and definitely snag Johnson.
Arizona Cardinals
Adrian Peterson
RB * Oklahoma * Height: 6-1 * Weight: 217 * 40-Time: 4.41
This is a perfect example of drafting value over need. The Cardinals have Edgerrin James who they paid a pricey bounty last year, but Peterson is too good to pass up. He had one of the best combines running a 4.41 in the 40, notching a 38 1/2 inch vertical jump, a 10-1 in the broad jump, and a 4.4 second short shuttle. He did all this the day after his brother passed away, which as callous as it may sound, shows teams a lot and how he can handle adversity and tough situations that may arise.
A lot of teams have gone to the two-back approach, giving teams a lot more to gameplan for. This would be a great approach for the Cardinals, especially since Peterson has had some durability issues (broken collarbone, shoulder and ankle injuries). He could get lower when he makes contact, as some of the hits he has laid on college players in the past will not fly in the NFL.
He is a strong gritty player that has amazing burst and speed off the corner. He can create holes where there aren't any, and will make you pay if you try to arm tackle him. He is an excellent receiver with soft hands. His great vision has helped him become the three headed monster out of the backfield running the ball, catching the ball, and blocking. He is a true football player.
He could easily land in Cleveland, as the Browns only signed Jamal Lewis to a one year deal, but I think with their need at QB and the fact that Quinn should still be there, they'll opt to pass. If I'm wrong and Russell and Quinn go 1 and 2, Peterson will definitely end up a Cleveland Brown.
Washington Redskins
Gaines Adams
DE * Clemson * Height: 6-4 3/4 * Weight: 258 * 40-Time: 4.64
No one wants to trade out of their 1 st round pick more than Washington. If I had to guess, there could be up to 6 trades in the first round, but years past, when I thought this there have been none. It's all about expectation for teams and what they expect to have to give up to move up or what they expect if they want to move down.
That said, one possible player for the 6 th overall is the New England Patriots. There has been speculation the Pats could trade disgruntled CB Asante Samuel to the Redskins for the 6 th overall and at worse a late round draft pick (6 th round, possibly 7 th ). Team owner Daniel Snyder has never shied away from taking players that feel they are owed copious amounts of cash, and Samuel would be no exception. If the Patriots were to get this pick they'd surely grab LaRon Landry or Leon Hall. It's doubtful he would still be there, but Adrian Peterson falling here isn't such a huge stretch either since some mock drafts have him falling to the Vikings. If Peterson would be here you'd have to think the Patriots would snag him for insurance on Laurence Maroney who is under going shoulder surgery. Some think the Pats wouldn't want to move up this far because they don't want to pay top 10 cash, but who knows what Scott Pioli and Bob Kraft are thinking.
For this, I'll just assume the Redskins stick with the pick and grab Adams. He's the best End in the draft, has perfect size and speed. He's extremely athletic, and would actually give them a cornerstone to build their shoddy defensive line around. Needs to get stronger base underneath him and despite his size bigger linemen get lower than him. He needs to use his size to his advantage.
Minnesota Vikings
LaRon Landry
S * L.S.U. * Height: 6-2 1/2 * Weight: 213 * 40-Time: 4.35
The Vikings are yet another team that would love to trade down and get more picks. They just have far too many needs to address, and not one piece will make them playoff bound. The good news is Minnesota is equally inept on offense as it is on defense, which means they'll go for value here. Landry gives them just that.
After running a blistering 4.35 at the Combine people are being convinced that he is the talent that everyone thought he was. Landry had decent pro day, notching a 38 inch vertical and 20 reps on the bench. Landry is known as Mr. Reliable: a sure tackler, someone who can make the read, jump the route, and make the play.
Some say he lacks ideal bulk but he put on 10 lbs. before the Combine to address the question of a size issue. Sometimes he has issues projecting where the ball is going to land. Very good at the intermediate to long routes, but occasionally gets caught deep.
He's a hard hitter and can diagnose the play very quickly. He has the size and stature of a prototypical Safety. Similar to a Sean Taylor or Brian Dawkins. A born leader and has a quick memory. Very durable. A solid top 10 pick. Many say he is the most complete defensive player in the entire draft.
Atlanta Falcons (from Houston)
Amobi Okoye
DT * Louisville * Height: 6-2 * Weight: 302 * 40-Time: 4.88
Being the youngest player ever to be drafted into the NFL has its advantages. At 19, Okoye could potentially be a free agent by the time he is 24, and if he has the career people expect, that could mean a huge pay day after he plays out his rookie contract. To me this is a no brainer: the Falcons have huge needs along the defensive line, and the new head coach Bobby Petrino was Okoye's coach at Louisville for his entire career. He knows his strengths and weaknesses and exactly how he will fit into his defensive schemes.
Playing in college as a 16 year old true freshman, Okoye has both the physical and mental tools to be able to handle the NFL. He is an immediate impact player. His Combine time was sub 5, while his pro day notched him at 4.88. Overall he had a fantastic combine, more so in the back rooms with the coaches during interviews. His 29 reps at the bench tied for 4 th for all Defensive Tackles, while his 30 inch vertical also tied for 4 th for his position.
He has great instincts and is a ball hawk. As his collegiate career progressed he became more of a sack artist and shored up his tackles for a loss. Stock continues to rise, and if the Redskins stay put, they could potentially snag him instead of Gaines Adams. Gets max penetration, controls the gap, and is incredibly smart. Lacks closing speed and can improve his pass rush; however, he is balls to the wall on every single play. Conditioning should get a lot better when he gets to the next level. Next to Calvin Johnson, both physically and character-wise, Okoye has very few peers in this draft.
Miami Dolphins
Levi Brown
OT * Penn State * Height: 6-5 1/2 * Weight: 323 * 40-Time: 5.39
For most Dolphins fans, this isn't a glamorous pick. Rarely is a fan excited for their team snagging an Offensive Lineman, even if he is one of the best in the draft. In Miami's case, this is a great scenario. Their entire offense could be remade with this pick.
Picture this: Miami pulls off the trade to Kansas City for Quarterback Trent Green. Now they have a leader that can steer the Dolphins into the playoffs. Running Back Ricky Williams has applied for reinstatement to the league after spending a year in the CFL due to a substance abuse suspension. If he is reinstated and the Dolphins keep him, that instantly helps Ronnie Brown, who hasn't been as durable as he could be.
So there you have it. This one pick has the potential to vastly change the outlook of the Dolphins' offense. Protecting Trent Green and opening holes for Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown could be this man's fulltime job, something I am sure he is more than fine with.
Some have said Brown could go as high as 5 to Arizona, and most don't see him slipping past the top 10. He's just too good for that. He is about an inch shorter and 10 lbs. heavier than Thomas, however, he has a longer wingspan than Thomas, measuring at 34 3/8 inches. Even though he has longer arms that Thomas (which will help in his pass blocking), he notched 31 reps on the bench, 3 more than Thomas. Even though he surpassed Thomas on the bench, Thomas had one of the best Combines overall, whereas Brown helped improve his status to land him in the top 10 for sure, he still is the second best Tackle in the draft.
He is a great run blocker. Makes great use of leverage and strength. Above average at pass blocking. Picks up the blitz and stunts wonderfully. Sometimes gets a little too high on his blocks, leading to loss of balance and base. Needs to polish his ability to separate from his defender and gap protection a bit. Many compare him to Tony Boselli.
Houston Texans (from Atlanta)
Leon Hall
CB * Michigan * Height: 5-11 1/4 * Weight: 193 * 40-Time: 4.39
Another team that would love to trade down, the Texans greatly screwed up their franchise for years, selecting DE Mario Williams last year with the first pick overall rather than RB Reggie Bush. I wrote about why Williams was the wrong choice here, and still stand by my points.
That said, one potential suitor for this pick again is the New England Patriots, where they could get a need at Cornerback by getting Asante Samuel in a trade, as well as at least one late round pick. If they don't find a team to trade with, they will address both a need and value by grabbing Leon Hall.
Hall is head and shoulders better than all the other Corners in the draft. It's projected another Corner won't come off the board until the 20s, and in this Mock, I have Dallas grabbing the next Corner at 22. This says something about the quality of Corners available in the draft and their value.
Hall has good size, but nothing to write home about, but his speed certainly is. He ran a 4.39, tied for 3 rd overall at his position. He had a good broad jump (10-5) and an average bench performance (15 reps), but it was his Combine drills (cones and shuttles) as well as position drills that make the biggest difference in separating him from the other Corners in the draft.
Good tackler and a ball hawk. A huge thread in the secondary to opposing offenses. Will take calculated risks to make the pick, rarely guesses wrong. Fluid hips and great soft hands. Leaps for the ball at its highest point. Plays the ball more often than the man. Sometimes finds himself in trouble when he bites on play action. When he does get beat he tends to get beat big because of a lack of burst, even though he has speed. Could stand to put on a little weight. Should definitely improve Dunta Robinson's play at the other Corner.
San Francisco 49ers
Jamaal Anderson
DE * Arkansas * Height: 6-5 3/8 * Weight: 288 * 40-Time: 4.75
Some think the 49ers may reach here and grab Offensive Tackle Joe Staley here, and they might, however, they have a big need at DE and Anderson would help immediately. Alex Smith could use more protection so this is a toss up for the 49ers.
I think the reach for Staley here is a bit much at this point, which is why I am going with a need here at DE. A notch below Adams, Anderson has a motor that doesn't stop that comes with great size and instincts.
Not working out at the combine didn't help him, but it didn't hurt him as much as it could. A 32 ½ vertical, 4.75 40-yard dash, and 22 bench presses at his Pro Day weren't eye popping numbers, but he still is in a class where value reigns supreme.
Anderson has fantastic agility and speed for his size, and should start immediately. Can be inconsistent and sometimes gets up field too quickly, but with some polishing he can be a huge disruption in the back field. Still very raw, as he only started a season and a half in college. Almost stands directly up on the snap, giving him poor leverage and can be ridden to the ground if playing against an elite Tackle. Still has tremendous upside.
Buffalo Bills
Patrick Willis
LB * Mississippi * Height: 6-1 1/8 * Weight: 242 * 40-Time: 4.38
After losing London Fletcher to free agency and trading Takeo Spikes, the Bills are taking full advantage of Willis' soaring stock. Thought at one point that Willis would fall to the Patriots at the 24 th pick, the Bills need a 'veteran' rookie, and Willis provides them with that.
Improved his 40 time he ran at the Combine from 4.46 to 4.38 in his Pro Day. With 24 reps on the bench and a 39 inch vertical, he had a fantastic workout and shot up the draft board.
Has mediocre football smarts and instincts, which causes issues when in coverage. Regardless, when he can read the play quick enough, he is always around the ball and making the tackle. Great size, strength, agility, and speed, but could get a bit bigger base. Moves extremely well laterally, sideline to sideline. Has no issues shedding blockers and reading the Quarterback. Played in an easier defensive scheme, but Marv Levy will hone him into Brian Urlacher in no time. Every defensive coordinators dream.
St. Louis Rams
Alan Branch
DT * Michigan * Height: 6-5 3/4 * Weight: 324 * 40-Time: 5.09
The Rams could not be happier that Branch's stock has taken at hit, as they know he's still a great player and have a need at DT. This fits them perfectly. His work ethic and conditioning are being called into question, hence the reason from him dropping from the top 7 where he sat comfortably for quite some time.
The Rams need to get big inside, and Branch is just that. He is massive and quite light on his feet. He has a weight fluctuation problem and sometimes has an attitude problem when it comes to keeping up with his training especially in the offseason. He is a bit raw, but very athletic. If his attitude comes around, his technique will improve, and if that happens he will be a steal at this spot.
Branch is strong, putting up 225 lbs. 33 times, and has average ups with a 27 ½ inch vertical. He is great at taking up space and closing holes. Loves to bull-rush. Honing his rip and swim moves will really help him, as one dimensional DT don't survive long in the NFL. He can play all positions on the defensive line. Excellent at collapsing the pocket. When he gets his hands on you, you're done. Will never be an explosive DT, but still has a quick first step.
Similar at this point to a more raw and younger Vince Wilfork.
Carolina Panthers
Greg Olsen
TE * Miami * Height: 6-5 7/8 * Weight: 254 * 40-Time: 4.51
The Panthers desperately need a big target to pull pressure from Steve Smith and Keyshawn Johnson and Olsen can do just that. If they decide to go defense here I would expect they would grab Lawrence Timmons, as Dan Morgan is probably one or two concussions away from calling it a career.
There are enough linebackers in the draft to snag one in the later rounds, but only one true stud Tight End. No one improved his draft status better than Olsen at the Combine. He ran 2 tenths of a second faster than the next fastest Tight End, never dropped a single pass the entire day, and showed off his guns by pushing 225 23 times.
Extremely soft hands and can catch anything, which was supported by his superb route running and drills at the Combine. Very physical and has the ability to obliterate Corners and Safeties that come up to tackle him. More interested in running over you as opposed to running around, although he does have some moves. Very good blocker. Always seems to find a way to get open.
Many think he should add some size, but that may hinder his ability to stretch the field. Could get stronger in his lower body.
Reminds many of another former Hurricane Jeremy Shockey. Would be a fantastic fit for the Panthers, if he can stay healthy. Seems to always be hurt (shoulder, wrist, concussion).
Pittsburgh Steelers
Jarvis Moss
DE/LB * Florida * Height: 6-6 1/2 * Weight: 250 * 40-Time: 4.70
This is a tough pick. It's always a tough pick when you have a new head coach without having any clue of how he runs a team, not to mention when there are multiple needs. The most glaring is the loss of Joey Porter, and for that, I see them snagging Moss. Moss could potentially be the next Adalius Thomas, a tweener DE/OLB who has great versatility. He can be an End in a 4-3 or an OLB in a 3-4 scheme.
He won't be able to take on huge OT because of his strength but that can be changed with a great strength and conditioning program. He pumped out a mere 16 reps on the bench, which is only one more than the lowest total for his position. He is extremely raw, but under the right guidance can turn into something special. Lacks ideal size, which is why he might be a better OLB than DE.
Moss's strength and size are his glaring weaknesses. He can rush up the field and drop into coverage. Creates problems for offensive lines, as he has a motor that never stops. Can stop and start again very quickly. Big quick hands and moves, but cannot bull-rush. Loves to rip, swim, and juke. Needs to have an above average DT to perform at his capabilities. Similar in many ways to Jevon Kearse.
Green Bay Packers
Marshawn Lynch
RB * Cal * Height: 5-11 * Weight: 218 * 40-Time: 4.46
This pick makes the most sense. After Ahman Green went to Houston, the Packers didn't sweat, as they figured Lynch would still be around in the draft based on the need and value of the other teams ahead of them. If Lynch were to go earlier for some odd reason, I don't see them reaching here for another back, as the value at this point in the draft just isn't there for the other echelon of backs.
He will definitely give Brett Favre a more dynamic Back to hand off to and throw to than when Green was behind him. With Green, fumbles were an issue. This isn't the case with Lynch, who protects the ball very well. He is a good blocker, and can pick up the blitz very well. Has great vision and is always a threat to be off to the races.
Very low runner, but not elusive. Won't make too many tacklers miss, then again, not sure if he cares as he loves laying the wood on a would be tackler. Keeps pads at proper level before making contact. Gets huge yards after contact and bounces off just about everyone. Excellent receiver with soft hands. Has speed and a quick burst through the hole. Loves laying hits on the opposition. Tenacious blocker.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Michael Griffin
S * Texas * Height: 5-11 3/4 * Weight: 202 * 40-Time: 4.44
Nelson or Griffin? Versatility wins out here, which accounts for the jump of Griffin here. Nelson isn't one dimensional by any means, but Griffin adds a little more size and speed, but has a much better overall package as far as coming up and stuffing the run and dropping deep into coverage.
Griffin is one of the hardest hitting Safeties to come out of college in the last few years. Very versatile and experienced. Had over 260 tackles over the course of his final two seasons in college.
Improved 40-time from the Combine from 4.51 and 4.47 to 4.44 on the much slower surface that is the infamous Texas track. Makes Flack's hits look like a Girl Scout can hit harder. Had an impressive 39 ½ inch vertical jump. A natural leader, both with his words and his actions both on and off the field. Excellent blitzer. Fast feet, soft hands. Could get a bit stronger in his upper body as well (only 16 reps), but needs to focus first on his lower body. Long arms and can jump a country mile. Needs to have an experienced Safety such as Donovan Darius to bring him along, as many times he takes himself out of the play and wastes steps.
Cincinnati Bengals
Aaron Ross
CB/RS * Texas * Height: 6-0 1/2 * Weight: 193 * 40-Time: 4.50
The Bengals are in trouble. Not just on the field, but off the field. Every week it seems one of them is in jail. The need for the Bengals has very little to do with position at this point: it is all about character. Aaron Ross is a class act, as well as an athlete that fits a need.
Not only does Ross play corner extremely well, he is always a threat to return a ball to the house when he is playing special teams. Ross is very versatile and is a true athlete in every sense of the word. In high school he lettered in multiple sports, and could potentially be a great receiver if the need arose.
Extremely tough, durable, aggressive player. Incredibly good ball skills. Makes the play when you need it the most. Very fluid hips and doesn't get surprised and faked out by play action. Is one of the rare breed of Corners that actually love to tackle and hit (ie: the exact opposite of Ty Law and Deion Sanders). Has a very short memory and plays very well on an island. Can get stronger upper body wise, as he did well at the Combine but only squeaked out 16 reps. Fills hard and explodes through his opponent. Finds the gaps during punt returns and is always a danger to score whenever he puts his hands on the ball. Can take better angles of pursuit at times.
Tennessee Titans
Ted Ginn Jr.
WR * Ohio State * Height: 5-11 1/4 * Weight: 178 * 40-Time: 4.30
Losing Pacman Jones for the season hurts an already decimated Titans squad. Losing Wide Receivers Bobby Wade and Drew Bennett, as well as CB Jones, they lose three huge offensive threats, as Jones was a stellar return man.
Snagging Ginn here fills two needs: WR and as a return man. If David Givens can get and stay healthy, and possibly draft another big target, the Titans could be a lot better off.
Ginn has world class speed. Could stand to gain a few pounds and get a bit bigger. Would have picked Dwayne Jarrett here, but I think the fact that Ginn does returns is a huge upside for him. He has great hands and can jump with the best of them. Has no issues getting separation, and uses his burst of speed to get open. Will always have to be watched by safeties, as he is always a threat for the big play any time the ball is snapped. Can get caught at the line if playing against physical corners. Almost useless running across the middle.
Teams were very worried about his broken foot from the National Championship game, as he opted not to work out at the Combine and Ohio State's Pro Day. Instead, he worked out for them privately, and didn't disappoint with a 4.30. He thinks if he was healthier he would have been able to challenge Deion Sanders' 4.27.
If they decide to pick up a corner late that also plays specials, Jarrett could be the pick here if he falls past the Bengals, especially since former USC offensive coordinator Norm Chow is calling the plays for the Titans. Compared favorably to Santana Moss.
New York Giants
Joe Staley
OT * Central Michigan * Height: 6-5 7/8 * Weight: 306 * 40-Time: 4.82
In the last week, no one has hopped up the draft boards faster than Staley. If he isn't taken here, the Cowboys will take him for sure. The drop off after Staley at OT is huge. A former collegiate and high school Tight End, Staley has the versatility to go out for passes as an eligible Tackle. Running a 4.82 at the Combine, he is very fast for his size.
The Giants could very well grab LB Paul Poluszny here, as Coach Tom Coughlin is more defense oriented and could easily lean toward the defense for this pick. That said, I think it's important for Eli Manning to get protection and Staley provides that.
Excellent range and footwork. Pulls well, but needs to surprise his target because of a lack of lower body strength. Could stand to add a bit of weight. Has a very big wingspan. Will be able to help keep Eli Manning upright, giving him some time to hit his receivers and open up holes for Brandon Jacobs.
Denver Broncos
Adam Carriker
DE * Nebraska * Height: 6-6 * Weight: 296 * 40-Time: 4.72
The Broncos lack a true pass rusher. Carriker fits the mold of exactly what they are looking for. Someone that has ideal size and speed for the position, Carriker is an excellent tackler. Gets great penetration and takes up space, buying him time to get his motor running. Extremely strong, putting up 33 reps at the Combine.
Excellent technique and agility. Very technically sound, but must make better use of his hands. Good footwork that could improve. Needs to take sharper angles off the edge. Some people say he reminds them of Trevor Pryce.
Dallas Cowboys
Darrelle Revis
CB * Pittsburgh * Height: 6-0 * Weight: 204 * 40-Time: 4.40
The Cowboys need secondary help. If they had another pick in the first round they would surely draft Reggie Nelson if he was available in order to help out Roy Williams. Then again, they could easily select a stud Wide Receiver here as well, such as Dwayne Jarrett. Revis hanging around until now is too good to pass up though so he is the pick.
Yet another player that is versatile, Revis is also a return man who has the ability to score with some good blocks but most likely won't remind anyone of Devin Hester any time soon. His specialty is shutting down receivers and making them pay when they do make the catch. Excellent at reading the QB. Aggressive and tough, another rare breed of Corner that actually loves to tackle.
Although he has great speed, he lacks that quick burst which can hurt him if he bites hard. Excels when he has help over the top, and late in his career started to really learn what playing on an island is like and how to improve his man to man coverage.
Kansas City Chiefs
Reggie Nelson
S * Florida * Height: 5-11 3/8 * Weight: 198 * 40-Time: 4.48
Aside from interior defensive line issues, the Chiefs could use some help at Safety. Again, I could easily see this pick being Dwayne Jarrett, as the Chiefs could really use another big target to get Dante Hall and Tony Gonzalez open. Eddie Kennison is a great receiver but always seems to be playing at less than 100%. Then again, with Guard Will Shields retiring they could reach and snag Ben Grubbs here.
That said, I have no issue having the Chiefs take Nelson here, as their defense has always been less than stellar, he's one of the best players available, and Herm Edwards is all about the defense.
Nelson had a great Combine, and there is no doubt in anyone's mind he will not slip past the Patriots at 24, so if he isn't taken here he will be gone with the next pick. Nelson has the best range out of all the Safeties in the entire draft. His athleticism is striking, while his tackling ability can be suspect. Always looks for the knockout shot, and isn't as good at wrapping up as he could be. Could get stronger. Can diagnose plays in coverage quickly while having minor issues in reading the run. Fantastically versatile and has excellent ball skills.
New England Patriots (from Seattle)
Paul Posluszny
LB * Penn State * Height: 6-1 5/8 * Weight: 238 * 40-Time: 4.65
Most drafts will not have Posluszny falling here, but my draft centers around first need and then value. That said, he could be gone to the Panthers, Steelers, or Giants. Because of their needs and where others land, I don't see that happening.
The Patriots have significantly upgraded their team by signing Adalius Thomas, Donte Stallworth and Kelley Washington. Those signings completely changed what the Patriots need to do in the draft. This gives them a perfect chance to fill needs and get value at the same time. Linebacker is a huge need. Posluszny fills that.
Posluszny recorded over 116 tackles in his junior season. He had an extremely good Combine, running a 4.70 in the 40 (at 238 pounds), notching a 37 inch vertical, and put up 22 reps of 225 lbs.
Has excellent instincts. Very tough and athletic. Makes plays sideline to sideline, always taking the best angles of pursuit. A leader that people want to follow. Has the ability to get a bit bigger which most say is his biggest weakness. Has good ball skills but can improve here as well.
Penn State teammate Tim Shaw did better than Posluszny at the Combine, so if he is no longer there and he slips, Shaw could wind up a Patriot instead. Posluszny is compared favorably to A.J. Hawk.
New York Jets
Dwayne Jarrett
WR * USC * Height: 6-4 * Weight: 219 * 40-Time: 4.62
The Jets are one of those teams that had a great draft last year and are already building on that draft success. Laveranues Coles could really use a big threat to help him out. Jarrett is that help. Jerricho Cotchery and Justin McCareins just don't offer the size mismatch that Jarrett offers. The Jets could use a Corner as well here, perhaps taking Chris Houston, but they might want to take their chances later on a bigger Corner.
All Jarrett knows how to do is catch touchdowns. He has big soft hands, has no issues going across the middle and can adjust to a short pass or win the jump ball. Extremely strong and fluid, he is very tough to tackle and rarely goes down after the first hit. Although he lacks ideal speed and separation from coverage, he is strong enough to chuck his defender off when in press coverage. A huge target that will only get better as he hits the next level.
Philadelphia Eagles
Lawrence Timmons
LB * Florida State * Height: 6-0 7/8 * Weight: 234 * 40-Time: 4.59
For teams that look for someone that has fantastic character, this guy is the cream of the crop. The Eagles could use an OLB and this is fantastic value at this spot. At the Combine, he cranked out 25 reps and a 35 inch vertical.
Timmons' biggest weakness is experience. He only started one season for Florida State, which has led to some issues recognizing the pass over the run. Even though he is a great tackler and blows up plays, he needs to get stronger. Very good in coverage, and is great at closing. Can hit from sideline to sideline. Slips in the draft only because some question his size and experience.
Timmons will be an asset to the Eagles, one any team looking for an OLB would be more than happy with.
New Orleans Saints
Chris Houston
CB * Arkansas * Height: 5-10 7/8 * Weight: 185 * 40-Time: 4.32
The Saints desperately need help in their secondary. They have a great defensive line and are getting better at linebacker, but their opponents attack their secondary on almost every play because it leaks like a faucet. Although Houston isn't as tall as the Saints would like him to be, he has the speed and strength to compete against just about any receiver in the league.
Although Houston is very strong at covering the pass, he really needs to get better at supporting the run. If you get your hands on him or block down on him he has issues getting away which nullifies his terrific speed. Definitely needs to become a better tackler. His instincts always put him at the right spot for the play, but once he gets more polished and refines his tackling he will be able to make the play and not just be a spectator. Knocks down more balls than intercepts. Could get better at reading the flight of the ball to give himself a chance to pick more off.
Houston's rare combination of speed (fastest DB at the Combine) and strength (most reps by a Corner with 27) nullifies how raw he can really be sometimes. He has the tools, he just needs to put them together and get more consistent. During his career he completely shutdown Dwayne Jarrett and Dwayne Bowe, premier WRs in this draft, which shows us he has what it takes to play at a very high collegiate level. He could stand to put on a bit of weight, but he has tremendous upside.
New England Patriots
Brandon Meriweather
S * Miami * Height: 5-10 7/8 * Weight: 198 * 40-Time: 4.47
The Patriots tend to stay away from players that have a rough go of it sometimes (Randy Moss anyone?). I think they broke that mold when they signed a "troubled" Corey Dillon. The reason? I really think it's because the Patriots already had veteran presences at multiple positions at that point. Patriots owner Bob Kraft trusted GM Scott Pioli and Coach Bill Belichick to bring in players they feel may not have the best attitude, but will be kept in check by the veterans on the team.
That said, the Patriots need LBs, CBs, and Safeties. Meriweather is an excellent talent and value here. He is extremely athletic and versatile, being able to play both CB and S. This bodes well for him in Belichick's system. Extremely reliable open field tackler. Can probably stand to gain about 10 or 12 pounds and bulk up a bit. He is a born leader with a hitman mentality. Leads by example, and is accountable for when he screws up, both on the field (missing a tackle) and off/on the field (Florida International brawl this past season). He's been humbled by the incident and through the Combine interviews and will work harder to prove that isn't the way he really is. Incredible motor and very explosive. Not someone that you want tackling you. Excellent in both supporting the run and in coverage. Can be used at Strong or Free, but better as a Free Safety.
Meriweather could be a great pick here, especially if he has the chance to learn from Rodney Harrison and Eugene Wilson. In a pinch, he could help out when Asante Samuel is either traded or his franchise contract expires next year.
Baltimore Ravens
Jon Beason
LB * Miami * Height: 6-01/4 * Weight: 237 * 40-Time: 4.72
The Ravens were most likely not expecting Adalius Thomas to up and leave them for the Patriots so soon. They surely thought they would have a chance to get a chance to bid for him, but with Thomas being extremely happy with the offer from New England they never got the chance. Instead, they'll look to the draft to help them fill that hole.
Originally I have them snagging Anthony Spencer here, as he reminds me the most of Thomas, but with Beason still on the board and yet another Hurricane, I can't see Brian Billick passing on him.
Beason isn't very imposing size wise, but makes up for it in his speed. Some clock him at 4.55, but his Combine time is 4.72. Tied for the 4th lowest total in the bench at his position. Maxed out his frame so he won't be able to add bulk, but can definitely add strength. Needs to get better when dropping into coverage, but with a great secondary like the Ravens he should have more than enough time to get better in this area. A solid reliable tackler. Has a great burst and can close impressively. Always explodes through his tackles. Instincts are above average, especially against the run. Never quit attitude and has a nonstop motor that can reach another level sometimes. Can play hurt.
San Diego Chargers
Dwayne Bowe
WR * LSU * Height: 6-21/4 * Weight: 221 * 40-Time: 4.50
The Chargers need someone to take passes over the middle from Philip Rivers. They need someone that has size and speed to free up Antonio Gates. Bowe can be that and more.
Sometimes when players slip, it has little or nothing to do with what they have done in workouts and interviews. This is the case with Bowe. Bowe has slipped this far only because he has such great competition and teams have other needs. If teams tend to lean more towards their wants and value, Bowe will be gone in the low 20s and won't be here.
For such a big guy, he is fast. Like Jarrett, any jump ball is his to lose. He has long arms and great hands. He is very strong in his lower body which helps him break tackles, especially any pansy ones from Flack.
Because of his lack of high school football experience, he is still a bit raw in his route running and cuts. Once he gets his technique down pat he could be a huge threat.
Compared by some to Andre Johnson or Donte Stallworth.
Chicago Bears
Justin Harrel - DT * Tennessee * Height: 6-43/8 * Weight: 300 * 40-Time: 5.10
Even though the Bears just went to the Super Bowl they have a number of needs. Lance Briggs could be traded during or after the draft. Even if he's not, they have no shot at singing him to a long term deal so the most they'll have him for is one season. They really could get better at every single position and have needs all over the place, more specifically at DT, RB, TE, the entire offensive line and QB.
To be honest, the first few times I did this mock I had them selecting Auburn Guard Ben Grubbs, but Lovie Smith is a defensive minded coach and they need help everywhere and this is great value. Couple that with the fact that Grubbs could be there in a few more picks when they pick again at pick 37 and they could address two huge holes on both lines.
Harrel is a run stopper, not a pass rusher. Almost the same mold as Ted Washington, just a hell of a lot lighter. Average strength on the bench (24 reps) at his position, but plays stronger than his numbers. Very aggressive and tough, especially mentally. He is a hole closer and gap crasher. Very good at staying low and moving the pocket. Has a great quick burst of speed but isn't fast. He is a good size, but needs to get more explosive. Sometimes gets caught off guard and has issues getting off blocks. Very aggressive stopping the run, but seems out of place when he needs to rush the QB. Has some durability concerns that has caused him to slip. Many think had he not torn his biceps during the Florida game he would have been select as high as 16. Excellent value for any team that takes him in this part of the draft.
Indianapolis Colts
Anthony Spencer
DE/LB * Purdue * Height: 6-2 7/8 * Weight: 261 * 40-Time: 4.73
If there is something the Colts need it is a pass rusher. With Dwight Freeney franchise tagged and not expected to be able to be signed, and Cato June leaving for Tampa Bay Spencer's versatility and tweener status really give him a shot to be a great pickup for the Colts here.
Had 26.5 tackles for loss in his Senior year. Extremely good at cone drills and shuttles at the Combine. Very elusive.
Spencer is extremely quick and explosive. Is a solid hitter and tackler. Has excellent closing speed and backside pursuit. Could become a lot better at diagnosing the play faster. Needs to be more flexible. Major weakness is lack of pass-rush moves, coupled with a size issue. This could be an issue for some teams.
Round 2:
Oakland Raiders – Tony Ugoh – OT – Arkansas
Detroit Lions – Trent Edwards – QB – Stanford
Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Turk McBride – DT – Tennessee
Cleveland Browns – Antonio Pittman – RB – Ohio State
Chicago Bears (from Washington through New York Jets) – Ben Grubbs * G * Auburn
Arizona Cardinals – Eric Wright – CB – UNLV
Atlanta Falcons (from Houston) – Charles Johnson – DE – Georgia
Miami Dolphins – Drew Stanton – QB – Michigan State
Minnesota Vikings – Anthony Gonzalez – WR – Ohio State
San Francisco 49ers – Steve Smith – WR – USC
Buffalo Bills – Marcus McCauley – CB – Fresno State
Atlanta Falcons – Justin Blalock – OT – Texas
Carolina Panthers – Tanard Jackson – S/CB – Syracuse
Pittsburgh Steelers – Brian Leonard – FB – Rutgers
Green Bay Packers – Zach Miller – TE – Arizona
Jacksonville Jaguars – Tim Crowder – DE – Texas
Cincinnati Bengals – Tank Tyler – DT – NC State
Tennessee Titans – Josh Wilson – CB – Maryland
New York Giants – Kenny Irons – RB – Auburn
St. Louis Rams – Ryan Kalil – C – USC
Dallas Cowboys – Robert Meachem – WR – Tennessee
Kansas City Chiefs – Arron Sears – G – Tennessee
Seattle Seahawks – Eric Weddle – S/CB – Utah
Denver Broncos – Sidney Rice –WR – South Carolina
Philadelphia Eagles – David Harris – LB – Michigan
New Orleans Saints – Buster Davis – LB – Florida State
New York Jets – Ben Patrick – TE – Georgia
Miami Dolphins (from New England) – Paul Soliai – DT – Utah
Baltimore Ravens – Stewart Bradley – LB – Nebraska
San Diego Chargers – Craig Davis – WR - LSU
New York Jets (from Chicago) – Jonathan Wade – CB – Tennessee
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (from Indianapolis) – Marshal Yanda – OT – Iowa
Round 3:
Oakland Raiders – LaMarr Woodley – DE – Michigan
Detroit Lions – Brian Robison – DE - Texas
Cleveland Browns – Josh Beekman – OL – Boston College
Tampa Bay Buccaneers –Aaron Rouse – S – Virginia Tech
Arizona Cardinals – Quincy Black – OLB – New Mexico
Denver Broncos (from Washington) – Selvin Young – RB – Texas
Miami Dolphins – Clifton Ryan – DT – Michigan State
Minnesota Vikings – Ikaika Alama-Francis – DE - Hawaii
Houston Texans – Jason Hill WR – Washington State
Buffalo Bills – Matt Spaeth – TE - Minnesota
Atlanta Falcons – Michael Bush – RB - Louisville
San Francisco 49ers – Rufus Alexander – OLB - Oklahoma
Pittsburgh Steelers – Samson Satele – C - Hawaii
Green Bay Packers – Paul Williams – WR – Fresno State
Jacksonville Jaguars – John Beck – QB – BYU
Cincinnati Bengals – FORFEITED
Tennessee Titans – Chris Henry – RB - Arizona
New York Giants – Justin Durant – OLB - Hampton
St. Louis Rams – Quentin Moses – DE - Georgia
Carolina Panthers - James Marten - OT – Boston College
Kansas City Chiefs – Jay Moore – DE - Nebraska
Seattle Seahawks – Daymeion Hughes – CB - California
Denver Broncos – DeMarcus Tyler – DT – North Carolina State
Dallas Cowboys – Ryan Harris – OT – Notre Dame
New Orleans Saints – Martrez Milner -TE - Georgia
New York Jets – Tim Shaw – LB – Penn State
Philadelphia Eagles - Troy Smith – QB – Ohio State
New England Patriots – Lorenzo Booker – RB – Florida State
Buffalo Bills (from Baltimore) – Darius Walker – RB – Notre Dame
San Diego Chargers –
Chicago Bears – Manuel Ramirez – OG – Texas Tech
Indianapolis Colts – Ryan McBean – DT – Oklahoma State
San Diego Chargers – Brandon Siler – ILB - Florida
San Francisco 49ers – Sabby Piscitelli – S – Oregon State
Indianapolis Colts – Brandon Jackson – RB – Nebraska
Oakland Raiders – Aundrae Allison - WR – East Carolina
Round 4:
Oakland Raiders – Andy Alleman – G - Akron
Detroit Lions – Fred Bennett – CB - South Carolina
Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Victor Abiamiri – DE – Notre Dame
Cleveland Browns – Courtney Taylor – WR - Auburn
San Francisco 49ers (from Washington) – Tony Hunt – RB – Penn State
Arizona Cardinals – James Marten – OT – Boston College
Minnesota Vikings – Leroy Harris – OL - NC State
Houston Texans – Kevin Kolb – QB – Houston
Miami Dolphins – Mario Henderson – OT – Florida State
Atlanta Falcons – Jacoby Jones – WR – Lane College
San Francisco 49ers – Enoka Lucas – C - Oregon
Buffalo Bills – Kenny Scott – CB – Georgia Tech
Green Bay Packers – Brandon Mebane – DT - California
Jacksonville Jaguars – Ryan Harris – OT – Notre Dame
Cincinnati Bengals – Ray McDonald – DL - Florida
Tennessee Titans – Tarell Brown – CB - Texas
New York Giants – Rheme McKnight – WR - Notre Dame
St. Louis Rams – David Clowney – WR – Virginia Tech
Carolina Panthers – LeRon McClain – FB - Alabama
Pittsburgh Steelers – Quinn Pitcock – DT – Ohio State
Seattle Seahawks – Marvin White – S – TCU
Atlanta Falcons (from Denver) – Doug Free – OT – Northern Illinois
Dallas Cowboys – Josh Gattis – S – Wake Forest
New Orleans Saints (from K.C.) – Michael Coe - CB – Alabama State
San Francisco 49ers (from New York Jets) – David Patterson – DT – Ohio State
New Orleans Saints (from Philly) – Marcus Thomas – DT - Florida
New Orleans Saints – Walter Thomas – DT – NW Mississippi JC
New England Patriots – Zak DeOssie – LB - Brown
Tennessee Titans (from Baltimore) – Allen Barbre – OT – Missouri Southern State
San Diego Chargers – Roy Hall – WR – Ohio State
Chicago Bears – David Clowney – WR – Virginia Tech
Indianapolis Colts – Jermon Bushrod – OT – Towson
Pittsburgh Steelers (Comp Pick) - Daniel Sepulveda – P – Baylor
Atlanta Falcons (Comp Pick) – Brandon McDonald – CB - Memphis
Baltimore Ravens (Comp Pick) – Michael Allen – TE – Whitworth COllege
San Francisco 49ers (Comp Pick) – A.J. Davis – CB – NC State
Indianapolis Colts (Comp Pick) – Antonio Johnson – DT – Mississippi State
Baltimore Ravens (Comp Pick) – Johnnie Lee Higgins – WR - UTEP
**Note: My mock draft does not take into consideration that teams can and will trade up and down in order to achieve more picks and better position in the draft. It is impossible to predict how teams will react once the clock starts, so I do not bother trying.
That said, there is a huge chance that Oakland could trade down to the 2nd overall to Detroit for the 1st, where Detroit will snag JaMarcus Russell, and Oakland will get Josh McCown in the trade and select Calvin Johnson with the 2nd pick overall. If this were to happen, I would still guess that Cleveland would grab Brady Quinn, and Tampa would most likely trade out of the 4 spot, or grab Amobi Okoye.
Again, it's impossible to determine all the trade possibilities, which is why for my mock I will assume that no trading will take place, even though I know that is highly unlikely.**
Round 1:
Oakland Raiders
JaMarcus Russell
QB * L.S.U. * Height: 6-5 1/2 * Weight: 265 * 40-Time: 4.83
Russell or Quinn? If you had one shot to better your franchise for the future which QB would you snag? At first glance, the most popular answer is Russell. But is it the right answer?
Everyone is comparing Quinn vs. Russell to the Ryan Leaf and Peyton Manning dilemma. I'll be honest, coming out of college I firmly believed Leaf was the better QB. I thought he had a much better arm and pocket presence, and perhaps he did, but he didn't have what it took upstairs to be able to show people what he was about athletically.
After reading an article about this exact subject written by ESPN, they came up with a formula that seems to really shed some light on such dilemmas: only two stats really matter when it comes to college QBS – Games Started and Completion Percentage. The first seems senseless, but when you look at all the numbers, it adds up, especially when you look at recent history. Manning started 45 college games, completed 63% of his passes, where Leaf started only 24 games and completed 54%. Looking at Quinn, he started 46 games, and completed 58% (almost the same as Donovan McNabb), compared to Russell who started a mere 29 games, for a 62% percentage.
The article went back 10 years and looked at the drafts to get the numbers and they don't lie: McNabb and Carson Palmer started 49 and 45 games, respectively, whereas Joey Harrington started 28, Jim Druckenmiller started 24, and Akili Smith played a paltry 19. Looking at them again for percentage, Leaf, Druckenmiller, Harrington, Smith, and Cade McNown all barely completed 55%, while Kyle Boller didn't even complete half his college passes.
JaMarcus Russell
QB * L.S.U. * Height: 6-5 1/2 * Weight: 265 * 40-Time: 4.83
Russell or Quinn? If you had one shot to better your franchise for the future which QB would you snag? At first glance, the most popular answer is Russell. But is it the right answer?
Everyone is comparing Quinn vs. Russell to the Ryan Leaf and Peyton Manning dilemma. I'll be honest, coming out of college I firmly believed Leaf was the better QB. I thought he had a much better arm and pocket presence, and perhaps he did, but he didn't have what it took upstairs to be able to show people what he was about athletically.
After reading an article about this exact subject written by ESPN, they came up with a formula that seems to really shed some light on such dilemmas: only two stats really matter when it comes to college QBS – Games Started and Completion Percentage. The first seems senseless, but when you look at all the numbers, it adds up, especially when you look at recent history. Manning started 45 college games, completed 63% of his passes, where Leaf started only 24 games and completed 54%. Looking at Quinn, he started 46 games, and completed 58% (almost the same as Donovan McNabb), compared to Russell who started a mere 29 games, for a 62% percentage.
The article went back 10 years and looked at the drafts to get the numbers and they don't lie: McNabb and Carson Palmer started 49 and 45 games, respectively, whereas Joey Harrington started 28, Jim Druckenmiller started 24, and Akili Smith played a paltry 19. Looking at them again for percentage, Leaf, Druckenmiller, Harrington, Smith, and Cade McNown all barely completed 55%, while Kyle Boller didn't even complete half his college passes.
So what does this all say? Basically, the right choice is Brady Quinn, but that doesn't mean that Al Davis will do it. At the same time, although Davis is a shrewd man, he does know football. The hot rumor going around is Oakland could trade down to the 2 spot to Detroit for QB Josh McCown, and then with the 2 nd overall snag Calvin Johnson. I really see this as a possibility, as Davis wants to win now while he still has a stout defense, and McCown has shown flashes in the past.
If this doesn't come to pass, I see Russell going number 1 to the Raiders. He's a little slower than Quinn, but he's a bigger man. A lot of people compare him to the Daunte Culpepper of old: strong arm, can run when needed, very hard to tackle, have no chance of arm tackling him, and can make the throw. One huge issue I see with him is he doesn't come from a very complex system and in the past has had issues reading complex defenses, while this isn't an issue at all with Quinn because he comes from an NFL system installed by former Patriots Offensive Coordinator Charlie Weis.
Joe Thomas
OT * Wisconsin * Height: 6-6 5/8 * Weight: 311 * 40-Time: 4.92
I'll be honest, I've toiled over the position of my top 5 over and over. I've changed it over a hundred times it seems, and originally I had Joe Thomas here, and my gut says they pick him. Should I taken into consideration the last first rounder they drafted that opted to stay home for the draft and not come to New York is no longer with the team (Joey Harrington anyone?)? Normally yes, I would…and it nags at me, but not so much. He'd rather spend quality time with his father salmon fishing than in the glitzy eye of the New York media. Good for him.
Thomas is a manbeast, and everyone knows it. Mike Martz is an offensive genius, and as much as I know he'd love to take Brady Quinn, if you can't protect your QB it doesn't matter who you have at the helm. Kurt Warner and Marc Bulger didn't get that good without Orlando Pace protecting them, which is why they grab this need now.
The Lions have three good QBs: Jon Kitna (who is more than adequate but isn't the future of the franchise), Josh McCown, and Dan Orlovsky from UConn, who Martz has been said to favor, but hasn't quite stolen the position from anyone yet.
The Lions will stay away from Adrian Peterson, as they already have Kevin Jones and Tatum Bell among others to fight for the position. Matt Millen would be committing career suicide I think if he drafted yet another Wide Receiver with the first pick, even though Calvin Johnson is light years ahead of where both Mike Williams from USC and Charles Rogers from Michigan State were.
The overall consensus is that Thomas is even better than D'Brickashaw Ferguson, and has that Midwest meanstreak to prove it. Not bad if you're the Lions. He will surely protect whoever is his QB and opened up lanes on the outside for whoever they have running the ball. He's strong (28 reps in the bench) and fast for such a big guy (4.92 in the 40). Overall, he's the best and safest prospect for the Lions. He could definitely improve his run blocking, but the same was said about Orlando Pace at the beginning of his career as well.
Cleveland Browns
Brady Quinn
QB * Notre Dame * Height: 6-3 3/4 * Weight: 232 * 40-Time: 4.73
Cleveland is in a fairly sweet spot believe it or not. They have the luxury of not needing to trade up, because well they need every position. If Quinn is still on the board, I think Romeo Crennel will drool and snag him immediately. Afterall, Quinn's mentor is close friend Charlie Weiss, and if anyone know Weis and has been talking to him with any regularity after the season ended, it's Crennel.
If both Russell and Quinn are gone, they could easily select Thomas, Peterson, or Johnson. Johnson would help open up Braylon Edwards, Peterson would give them a stable runner, and Thomas would give them someone to help a decent offensive line that could get a lot better if LeCharles Bentley gets healthy and recovers from injury.
Quinn, in my opinion, is the best QB in the draft by far. He has it all: he can throw a beautiful deep ball, throw on the run, move if needed, put touch on the ball, read complex defenses, and when you need it, he knows how to lead his team to a comeback when needed. Sometimes he gets too weary/Michael Vick-esque in the pocket, and drifts from his progressions which leads to trouble. Sometimes he'll force throws but has a knack for not throwing interceptions when his team needs to protect the ball.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Calvin Johnson
WR * Georgia Tech * Height: 6-5 * Weight: 239 * 40-Time: 4.35
John Gruden needs Calvin Johnson to be a Buc. Joey Galloway needs Calvin Johnson to be a Buc.
By far, he is the most talented player at any position in the draft. He is a physical specimen, someone that every team (except maybe Detroit) is drooling over. He has the height, the size, the hands, and the speed. Probably the most reported tidbit from this years Combine was that Johnson wasn't scheduled to run the 40, as he wanted to wait for his pro day. Because of this he didn't bring any cleats. He had a change of heart at the last second, borrowed a pair of cleats from a East Carolina Quarterback friend James Pinkney and blazed a 4.35.
As I said earlier, Oakland is looking to trade with Detroit so they can get Calvin there and a QB to throw to him in the deal, but that is doubtful as it helps Oakland a lot more than it does Detroit.
Gruden has a great love for stud receivers that have all the tools that Calvin has. This is a win-win for the Bucs and Johnson if he is still available, as Johnson will get a true offensive minded coach that will make the most of his abilities and the Bucs will get one of the most dynamic threats available in the Draft and cause dizzying mismatches. Because of this very reason, the Bucs could potentially jump up to the 1 or 2 spot, with Detroit looking more likely as they have a plethora of quarterbacks to give up as well as this pick to move up and definitely snag Johnson.
Arizona Cardinals
Adrian Peterson
RB * Oklahoma * Height: 6-1 * Weight: 217 * 40-Time: 4.41
This is a perfect example of drafting value over need. The Cardinals have Edgerrin James who they paid a pricey bounty last year, but Peterson is too good to pass up. He had one of the best combines running a 4.41 in the 40, notching a 38 1/2 inch vertical jump, a 10-1 in the broad jump, and a 4.4 second short shuttle. He did all this the day after his brother passed away, which as callous as it may sound, shows teams a lot and how he can handle adversity and tough situations that may arise.
A lot of teams have gone to the two-back approach, giving teams a lot more to gameplan for. This would be a great approach for the Cardinals, especially since Peterson has had some durability issues (broken collarbone, shoulder and ankle injuries). He could get lower when he makes contact, as some of the hits he has laid on college players in the past will not fly in the NFL.
He is a strong gritty player that has amazing burst and speed off the corner. He can create holes where there aren't any, and will make you pay if you try to arm tackle him. He is an excellent receiver with soft hands. His great vision has helped him become the three headed monster out of the backfield running the ball, catching the ball, and blocking. He is a true football player.
He could easily land in Cleveland, as the Browns only signed Jamal Lewis to a one year deal, but I think with their need at QB and the fact that Quinn should still be there, they'll opt to pass. If I'm wrong and Russell and Quinn go 1 and 2, Peterson will definitely end up a Cleveland Brown.
Washington Redskins
Gaines Adams
DE * Clemson * Height: 6-4 3/4 * Weight: 258 * 40-Time: 4.64
No one wants to trade out of their 1 st round pick more than Washington. If I had to guess, there could be up to 6 trades in the first round, but years past, when I thought this there have been none. It's all about expectation for teams and what they expect to have to give up to move up or what they expect if they want to move down.
That said, one possible player for the 6 th overall is the New England Patriots. There has been speculation the Pats could trade disgruntled CB Asante Samuel to the Redskins for the 6 th overall and at worse a late round draft pick (6 th round, possibly 7 th ). Team owner Daniel Snyder has never shied away from taking players that feel they are owed copious amounts of cash, and Samuel would be no exception. If the Patriots were to get this pick they'd surely grab LaRon Landry or Leon Hall. It's doubtful he would still be there, but Adrian Peterson falling here isn't such a huge stretch either since some mock drafts have him falling to the Vikings. If Peterson would be here you'd have to think the Patriots would snag him for insurance on Laurence Maroney who is under going shoulder surgery. Some think the Pats wouldn't want to move up this far because they don't want to pay top 10 cash, but who knows what Scott Pioli and Bob Kraft are thinking.
For this, I'll just assume the Redskins stick with the pick and grab Adams. He's the best End in the draft, has perfect size and speed. He's extremely athletic, and would actually give them a cornerstone to build their shoddy defensive line around. Needs to get stronger base underneath him and despite his size bigger linemen get lower than him. He needs to use his size to his advantage.
Minnesota Vikings
LaRon Landry
S * L.S.U. * Height: 6-2 1/2 * Weight: 213 * 40-Time: 4.35
The Vikings are yet another team that would love to trade down and get more picks. They just have far too many needs to address, and not one piece will make them playoff bound. The good news is Minnesota is equally inept on offense as it is on defense, which means they'll go for value here. Landry gives them just that.
After running a blistering 4.35 at the Combine people are being convinced that he is the talent that everyone thought he was. Landry had decent pro day, notching a 38 inch vertical and 20 reps on the bench. Landry is known as Mr. Reliable: a sure tackler, someone who can make the read, jump the route, and make the play.
Some say he lacks ideal bulk but he put on 10 lbs. before the Combine to address the question of a size issue. Sometimes he has issues projecting where the ball is going to land. Very good at the intermediate to long routes, but occasionally gets caught deep.
He's a hard hitter and can diagnose the play very quickly. He has the size and stature of a prototypical Safety. Similar to a Sean Taylor or Brian Dawkins. A born leader and has a quick memory. Very durable. A solid top 10 pick. Many say he is the most complete defensive player in the entire draft.
Atlanta Falcons (from Houston)
Amobi Okoye
DT * Louisville * Height: 6-2 * Weight: 302 * 40-Time: 4.88
Being the youngest player ever to be drafted into the NFL has its advantages. At 19, Okoye could potentially be a free agent by the time he is 24, and if he has the career people expect, that could mean a huge pay day after he plays out his rookie contract. To me this is a no brainer: the Falcons have huge needs along the defensive line, and the new head coach Bobby Petrino was Okoye's coach at Louisville for his entire career. He knows his strengths and weaknesses and exactly how he will fit into his defensive schemes.
Playing in college as a 16 year old true freshman, Okoye has both the physical and mental tools to be able to handle the NFL. He is an immediate impact player. His Combine time was sub 5, while his pro day notched him at 4.88. Overall he had a fantastic combine, more so in the back rooms with the coaches during interviews. His 29 reps at the bench tied for 4 th for all Defensive Tackles, while his 30 inch vertical also tied for 4 th for his position.
He has great instincts and is a ball hawk. As his collegiate career progressed he became more of a sack artist and shored up his tackles for a loss. Stock continues to rise, and if the Redskins stay put, they could potentially snag him instead of Gaines Adams. Gets max penetration, controls the gap, and is incredibly smart. Lacks closing speed and can improve his pass rush; however, he is balls to the wall on every single play. Conditioning should get a lot better when he gets to the next level. Next to Calvin Johnson, both physically and character-wise, Okoye has very few peers in this draft.
Miami Dolphins
Levi Brown
OT * Penn State * Height: 6-5 1/2 * Weight: 323 * 40-Time: 5.39
For most Dolphins fans, this isn't a glamorous pick. Rarely is a fan excited for their team snagging an Offensive Lineman, even if he is one of the best in the draft. In Miami's case, this is a great scenario. Their entire offense could be remade with this pick.
Picture this: Miami pulls off the trade to Kansas City for Quarterback Trent Green. Now they have a leader that can steer the Dolphins into the playoffs. Running Back Ricky Williams has applied for reinstatement to the league after spending a year in the CFL due to a substance abuse suspension. If he is reinstated and the Dolphins keep him, that instantly helps Ronnie Brown, who hasn't been as durable as he could be.
So there you have it. This one pick has the potential to vastly change the outlook of the Dolphins' offense. Protecting Trent Green and opening holes for Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown could be this man's fulltime job, something I am sure he is more than fine with.
Some have said Brown could go as high as 5 to Arizona, and most don't see him slipping past the top 10. He's just too good for that. He is about an inch shorter and 10 lbs. heavier than Thomas, however, he has a longer wingspan than Thomas, measuring at 34 3/8 inches. Even though he has longer arms that Thomas (which will help in his pass blocking), he notched 31 reps on the bench, 3 more than Thomas. Even though he surpassed Thomas on the bench, Thomas had one of the best Combines overall, whereas Brown helped improve his status to land him in the top 10 for sure, he still is the second best Tackle in the draft.
He is a great run blocker. Makes great use of leverage and strength. Above average at pass blocking. Picks up the blitz and stunts wonderfully. Sometimes gets a little too high on his blocks, leading to loss of balance and base. Needs to polish his ability to separate from his defender and gap protection a bit. Many compare him to Tony Boselli.
Houston Texans (from Atlanta)
Leon Hall
CB * Michigan * Height: 5-11 1/4 * Weight: 193 * 40-Time: 4.39
Another team that would love to trade down, the Texans greatly screwed up their franchise for years, selecting DE Mario Williams last year with the first pick overall rather than RB Reggie Bush. I wrote about why Williams was the wrong choice here, and still stand by my points.
That said, one potential suitor for this pick again is the New England Patriots, where they could get a need at Cornerback by getting Asante Samuel in a trade, as well as at least one late round pick. If they don't find a team to trade with, they will address both a need and value by grabbing Leon Hall.
Hall is head and shoulders better than all the other Corners in the draft. It's projected another Corner won't come off the board until the 20s, and in this Mock, I have Dallas grabbing the next Corner at 22. This says something about the quality of Corners available in the draft and their value.
Hall has good size, but nothing to write home about, but his speed certainly is. He ran a 4.39, tied for 3 rd overall at his position. He had a good broad jump (10-5) and an average bench performance (15 reps), but it was his Combine drills (cones and shuttles) as well as position drills that make the biggest difference in separating him from the other Corners in the draft.
Good tackler and a ball hawk. A huge thread in the secondary to opposing offenses. Will take calculated risks to make the pick, rarely guesses wrong. Fluid hips and great soft hands. Leaps for the ball at its highest point. Plays the ball more often than the man. Sometimes finds himself in trouble when he bites on play action. When he does get beat he tends to get beat big because of a lack of burst, even though he has speed. Could stand to put on a little weight. Should definitely improve Dunta Robinson's play at the other Corner.
San Francisco 49ers
Jamaal Anderson
DE * Arkansas * Height: 6-5 3/8 * Weight: 288 * 40-Time: 4.75
Some think the 49ers may reach here and grab Offensive Tackle Joe Staley here, and they might, however, they have a big need at DE and Anderson would help immediately. Alex Smith could use more protection so this is a toss up for the 49ers.
I think the reach for Staley here is a bit much at this point, which is why I am going with a need here at DE. A notch below Adams, Anderson has a motor that doesn't stop that comes with great size and instincts.
Not working out at the combine didn't help him, but it didn't hurt him as much as it could. A 32 ½ vertical, 4.75 40-yard dash, and 22 bench presses at his Pro Day weren't eye popping numbers, but he still is in a class where value reigns supreme.
Anderson has fantastic agility and speed for his size, and should start immediately. Can be inconsistent and sometimes gets up field too quickly, but with some polishing he can be a huge disruption in the back field. Still very raw, as he only started a season and a half in college. Almost stands directly up on the snap, giving him poor leverage and can be ridden to the ground if playing against an elite Tackle. Still has tremendous upside.
Buffalo Bills
Patrick Willis
LB * Mississippi * Height: 6-1 1/8 * Weight: 242 * 40-Time: 4.38
After losing London Fletcher to free agency and trading Takeo Spikes, the Bills are taking full advantage of Willis' soaring stock. Thought at one point that Willis would fall to the Patriots at the 24 th pick, the Bills need a 'veteran' rookie, and Willis provides them with that.
Improved his 40 time he ran at the Combine from 4.46 to 4.38 in his Pro Day. With 24 reps on the bench and a 39 inch vertical, he had a fantastic workout and shot up the draft board.
Has mediocre football smarts and instincts, which causes issues when in coverage. Regardless, when he can read the play quick enough, he is always around the ball and making the tackle. Great size, strength, agility, and speed, but could get a bit bigger base. Moves extremely well laterally, sideline to sideline. Has no issues shedding blockers and reading the Quarterback. Played in an easier defensive scheme, but Marv Levy will hone him into Brian Urlacher in no time. Every defensive coordinators dream.
St. Louis Rams
Alan Branch
DT * Michigan * Height: 6-5 3/4 * Weight: 324 * 40-Time: 5.09
The Rams could not be happier that Branch's stock has taken at hit, as they know he's still a great player and have a need at DT. This fits them perfectly. His work ethic and conditioning are being called into question, hence the reason from him dropping from the top 7 where he sat comfortably for quite some time.
The Rams need to get big inside, and Branch is just that. He is massive and quite light on his feet. He has a weight fluctuation problem and sometimes has an attitude problem when it comes to keeping up with his training especially in the offseason. He is a bit raw, but very athletic. If his attitude comes around, his technique will improve, and if that happens he will be a steal at this spot.
Branch is strong, putting up 225 lbs. 33 times, and has average ups with a 27 ½ inch vertical. He is great at taking up space and closing holes. Loves to bull-rush. Honing his rip and swim moves will really help him, as one dimensional DT don't survive long in the NFL. He can play all positions on the defensive line. Excellent at collapsing the pocket. When he gets his hands on you, you're done. Will never be an explosive DT, but still has a quick first step.
Similar at this point to a more raw and younger Vince Wilfork.
Carolina Panthers
Greg Olsen
TE * Miami * Height: 6-5 7/8 * Weight: 254 * 40-Time: 4.51
The Panthers desperately need a big target to pull pressure from Steve Smith and Keyshawn Johnson and Olsen can do just that. If they decide to go defense here I would expect they would grab Lawrence Timmons, as Dan Morgan is probably one or two concussions away from calling it a career.
There are enough linebackers in the draft to snag one in the later rounds, but only one true stud Tight End. No one improved his draft status better than Olsen at the Combine. He ran 2 tenths of a second faster than the next fastest Tight End, never dropped a single pass the entire day, and showed off his guns by pushing 225 23 times.
Extremely soft hands and can catch anything, which was supported by his superb route running and drills at the Combine. Very physical and has the ability to obliterate Corners and Safeties that come up to tackle him. More interested in running over you as opposed to running around, although he does have some moves. Very good blocker. Always seems to find a way to get open.
Many think he should add some size, but that may hinder his ability to stretch the field. Could get stronger in his lower body.
Reminds many of another former Hurricane Jeremy Shockey. Would be a fantastic fit for the Panthers, if he can stay healthy. Seems to always be hurt (shoulder, wrist, concussion).
Pittsburgh Steelers
Jarvis Moss
DE/LB * Florida * Height: 6-6 1/2 * Weight: 250 * 40-Time: 4.70
This is a tough pick. It's always a tough pick when you have a new head coach without having any clue of how he runs a team, not to mention when there are multiple needs. The most glaring is the loss of Joey Porter, and for that, I see them snagging Moss. Moss could potentially be the next Adalius Thomas, a tweener DE/OLB who has great versatility. He can be an End in a 4-3 or an OLB in a 3-4 scheme.
He won't be able to take on huge OT because of his strength but that can be changed with a great strength and conditioning program. He pumped out a mere 16 reps on the bench, which is only one more than the lowest total for his position. He is extremely raw, but under the right guidance can turn into something special. Lacks ideal size, which is why he might be a better OLB than DE.
Moss's strength and size are his glaring weaknesses. He can rush up the field and drop into coverage. Creates problems for offensive lines, as he has a motor that never stops. Can stop and start again very quickly. Big quick hands and moves, but cannot bull-rush. Loves to rip, swim, and juke. Needs to have an above average DT to perform at his capabilities. Similar in many ways to Jevon Kearse.
Green Bay Packers
Marshawn Lynch
RB * Cal * Height: 5-11 * Weight: 218 * 40-Time: 4.46
This pick makes the most sense. After Ahman Green went to Houston, the Packers didn't sweat, as they figured Lynch would still be around in the draft based on the need and value of the other teams ahead of them. If Lynch were to go earlier for some odd reason, I don't see them reaching here for another back, as the value at this point in the draft just isn't there for the other echelon of backs.
He will definitely give Brett Favre a more dynamic Back to hand off to and throw to than when Green was behind him. With Green, fumbles were an issue. This isn't the case with Lynch, who protects the ball very well. He is a good blocker, and can pick up the blitz very well. Has great vision and is always a threat to be off to the races.
Very low runner, but not elusive. Won't make too many tacklers miss, then again, not sure if he cares as he loves laying the wood on a would be tackler. Keeps pads at proper level before making contact. Gets huge yards after contact and bounces off just about everyone. Excellent receiver with soft hands. Has speed and a quick burst through the hole. Loves laying hits on the opposition. Tenacious blocker.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Michael Griffin
S * Texas * Height: 5-11 3/4 * Weight: 202 * 40-Time: 4.44
Nelson or Griffin? Versatility wins out here, which accounts for the jump of Griffin here. Nelson isn't one dimensional by any means, but Griffin adds a little more size and speed, but has a much better overall package as far as coming up and stuffing the run and dropping deep into coverage.
Griffin is one of the hardest hitting Safeties to come out of college in the last few years. Very versatile and experienced. Had over 260 tackles over the course of his final two seasons in college.
Improved 40-time from the Combine from 4.51 and 4.47 to 4.44 on the much slower surface that is the infamous Texas track. Makes Flack's hits look like a Girl Scout can hit harder. Had an impressive 39 ½ inch vertical jump. A natural leader, both with his words and his actions both on and off the field. Excellent blitzer. Fast feet, soft hands. Could get a bit stronger in his upper body as well (only 16 reps), but needs to focus first on his lower body. Long arms and can jump a country mile. Needs to have an experienced Safety such as Donovan Darius to bring him along, as many times he takes himself out of the play and wastes steps.
Cincinnati Bengals
Aaron Ross
CB/RS * Texas * Height: 6-0 1/2 * Weight: 193 * 40-Time: 4.50
The Bengals are in trouble. Not just on the field, but off the field. Every week it seems one of them is in jail. The need for the Bengals has very little to do with position at this point: it is all about character. Aaron Ross is a class act, as well as an athlete that fits a need.
Not only does Ross play corner extremely well, he is always a threat to return a ball to the house when he is playing special teams. Ross is very versatile and is a true athlete in every sense of the word. In high school he lettered in multiple sports, and could potentially be a great receiver if the need arose.
Extremely tough, durable, aggressive player. Incredibly good ball skills. Makes the play when you need it the most. Very fluid hips and doesn't get surprised and faked out by play action. Is one of the rare breed of Corners that actually love to tackle and hit (ie: the exact opposite of Ty Law and Deion Sanders). Has a very short memory and plays very well on an island. Can get stronger upper body wise, as he did well at the Combine but only squeaked out 16 reps. Fills hard and explodes through his opponent. Finds the gaps during punt returns and is always a danger to score whenever he puts his hands on the ball. Can take better angles of pursuit at times.
Tennessee Titans
Ted Ginn Jr.
WR * Ohio State * Height: 5-11 1/4 * Weight: 178 * 40-Time: 4.30
Losing Pacman Jones for the season hurts an already decimated Titans squad. Losing Wide Receivers Bobby Wade and Drew Bennett, as well as CB Jones, they lose three huge offensive threats, as Jones was a stellar return man.
Snagging Ginn here fills two needs: WR and as a return man. If David Givens can get and stay healthy, and possibly draft another big target, the Titans could be a lot better off.
Ginn has world class speed. Could stand to gain a few pounds and get a bit bigger. Would have picked Dwayne Jarrett here, but I think the fact that Ginn does returns is a huge upside for him. He has great hands and can jump with the best of them. Has no issues getting separation, and uses his burst of speed to get open. Will always have to be watched by safeties, as he is always a threat for the big play any time the ball is snapped. Can get caught at the line if playing against physical corners. Almost useless running across the middle.
Teams were very worried about his broken foot from the National Championship game, as he opted not to work out at the Combine and Ohio State's Pro Day. Instead, he worked out for them privately, and didn't disappoint with a 4.30. He thinks if he was healthier he would have been able to challenge Deion Sanders' 4.27.
If they decide to pick up a corner late that also plays specials, Jarrett could be the pick here if he falls past the Bengals, especially since former USC offensive coordinator Norm Chow is calling the plays for the Titans. Compared favorably to Santana Moss.
New York Giants
Joe Staley
OT * Central Michigan * Height: 6-5 7/8 * Weight: 306 * 40-Time: 4.82
In the last week, no one has hopped up the draft boards faster than Staley. If he isn't taken here, the Cowboys will take him for sure. The drop off after Staley at OT is huge. A former collegiate and high school Tight End, Staley has the versatility to go out for passes as an eligible Tackle. Running a 4.82 at the Combine, he is very fast for his size.
The Giants could very well grab LB Paul Poluszny here, as Coach Tom Coughlin is more defense oriented and could easily lean toward the defense for this pick. That said, I think it's important for Eli Manning to get protection and Staley provides that.
Excellent range and footwork. Pulls well, but needs to surprise his target because of a lack of lower body strength. Could stand to add a bit of weight. Has a very big wingspan. Will be able to help keep Eli Manning upright, giving him some time to hit his receivers and open up holes for Brandon Jacobs.
Denver Broncos
Adam Carriker
DE * Nebraska * Height: 6-6 * Weight: 296 * 40-Time: 4.72
The Broncos lack a true pass rusher. Carriker fits the mold of exactly what they are looking for. Someone that has ideal size and speed for the position, Carriker is an excellent tackler. Gets great penetration and takes up space, buying him time to get his motor running. Extremely strong, putting up 33 reps at the Combine.
Excellent technique and agility. Very technically sound, but must make better use of his hands. Good footwork that could improve. Needs to take sharper angles off the edge. Some people say he reminds them of Trevor Pryce.
Dallas Cowboys
Darrelle Revis
CB * Pittsburgh * Height: 6-0 * Weight: 204 * 40-Time: 4.40
The Cowboys need secondary help. If they had another pick in the first round they would surely draft Reggie Nelson if he was available in order to help out Roy Williams. Then again, they could easily select a stud Wide Receiver here as well, such as Dwayne Jarrett. Revis hanging around until now is too good to pass up though so he is the pick.
Yet another player that is versatile, Revis is also a return man who has the ability to score with some good blocks but most likely won't remind anyone of Devin Hester any time soon. His specialty is shutting down receivers and making them pay when they do make the catch. Excellent at reading the QB. Aggressive and tough, another rare breed of Corner that actually loves to tackle.
Although he has great speed, he lacks that quick burst which can hurt him if he bites hard. Excels when he has help over the top, and late in his career started to really learn what playing on an island is like and how to improve his man to man coverage.
Kansas City Chiefs
Reggie Nelson
S * Florida * Height: 5-11 3/8 * Weight: 198 * 40-Time: 4.48
Aside from interior defensive line issues, the Chiefs could use some help at Safety. Again, I could easily see this pick being Dwayne Jarrett, as the Chiefs could really use another big target to get Dante Hall and Tony Gonzalez open. Eddie Kennison is a great receiver but always seems to be playing at less than 100%. Then again, with Guard Will Shields retiring they could reach and snag Ben Grubbs here.
That said, I have no issue having the Chiefs take Nelson here, as their defense has always been less than stellar, he's one of the best players available, and Herm Edwards is all about the defense.
Nelson had a great Combine, and there is no doubt in anyone's mind he will not slip past the Patriots at 24, so if he isn't taken here he will be gone with the next pick. Nelson has the best range out of all the Safeties in the entire draft. His athleticism is striking, while his tackling ability can be suspect. Always looks for the knockout shot, and isn't as good at wrapping up as he could be. Could get stronger. Can diagnose plays in coverage quickly while having minor issues in reading the run. Fantastically versatile and has excellent ball skills.
New England Patriots (from Seattle)
Paul Posluszny
LB * Penn State * Height: 6-1 5/8 * Weight: 238 * 40-Time: 4.65
Most drafts will not have Posluszny falling here, but my draft centers around first need and then value. That said, he could be gone to the Panthers, Steelers, or Giants. Because of their needs and where others land, I don't see that happening.
The Patriots have significantly upgraded their team by signing Adalius Thomas, Donte Stallworth and Kelley Washington. Those signings completely changed what the Patriots need to do in the draft. This gives them a perfect chance to fill needs and get value at the same time. Linebacker is a huge need. Posluszny fills that.
Posluszny recorded over 116 tackles in his junior season. He had an extremely good Combine, running a 4.70 in the 40 (at 238 pounds), notching a 37 inch vertical, and put up 22 reps of 225 lbs.
Has excellent instincts. Very tough and athletic. Makes plays sideline to sideline, always taking the best angles of pursuit. A leader that people want to follow. Has the ability to get a bit bigger which most say is his biggest weakness. Has good ball skills but can improve here as well.
Penn State teammate Tim Shaw did better than Posluszny at the Combine, so if he is no longer there and he slips, Shaw could wind up a Patriot instead. Posluszny is compared favorably to A.J. Hawk.
New York Jets
Dwayne Jarrett
WR * USC * Height: 6-4 * Weight: 219 * 40-Time: 4.62
The Jets are one of those teams that had a great draft last year and are already building on that draft success. Laveranues Coles could really use a big threat to help him out. Jarrett is that help. Jerricho Cotchery and Justin McCareins just don't offer the size mismatch that Jarrett offers. The Jets could use a Corner as well here, perhaps taking Chris Houston, but they might want to take their chances later on a bigger Corner.
All Jarrett knows how to do is catch touchdowns. He has big soft hands, has no issues going across the middle and can adjust to a short pass or win the jump ball. Extremely strong and fluid, he is very tough to tackle and rarely goes down after the first hit. Although he lacks ideal speed and separation from coverage, he is strong enough to chuck his defender off when in press coverage. A huge target that will only get better as he hits the next level.
Philadelphia Eagles
Lawrence Timmons
LB * Florida State * Height: 6-0 7/8 * Weight: 234 * 40-Time: 4.59
For teams that look for someone that has fantastic character, this guy is the cream of the crop. The Eagles could use an OLB and this is fantastic value at this spot. At the Combine, he cranked out 25 reps and a 35 inch vertical.
Timmons' biggest weakness is experience. He only started one season for Florida State, which has led to some issues recognizing the pass over the run. Even though he is a great tackler and blows up plays, he needs to get stronger. Very good in coverage, and is great at closing. Can hit from sideline to sideline. Slips in the draft only because some question his size and experience.
Timmons will be an asset to the Eagles, one any team looking for an OLB would be more than happy with.
New Orleans Saints
Chris Houston
CB * Arkansas * Height: 5-10 7/8 * Weight: 185 * 40-Time: 4.32
The Saints desperately need help in their secondary. They have a great defensive line and are getting better at linebacker, but their opponents attack their secondary on almost every play because it leaks like a faucet. Although Houston isn't as tall as the Saints would like him to be, he has the speed and strength to compete against just about any receiver in the league.
Although Houston is very strong at covering the pass, he really needs to get better at supporting the run. If you get your hands on him or block down on him he has issues getting away which nullifies his terrific speed. Definitely needs to become a better tackler. His instincts always put him at the right spot for the play, but once he gets more polished and refines his tackling he will be able to make the play and not just be a spectator. Knocks down more balls than intercepts. Could get better at reading the flight of the ball to give himself a chance to pick more off.
Houston's rare combination of speed (fastest DB at the Combine) and strength (most reps by a Corner with 27) nullifies how raw he can really be sometimes. He has the tools, he just needs to put them together and get more consistent. During his career he completely shutdown Dwayne Jarrett and Dwayne Bowe, premier WRs in this draft, which shows us he has what it takes to play at a very high collegiate level. He could stand to put on a bit of weight, but he has tremendous upside.
New England Patriots
Brandon Meriweather
S * Miami * Height: 5-10 7/8 * Weight: 198 * 40-Time: 4.47
The Patriots tend to stay away from players that have a rough go of it sometimes (Randy Moss anyone?). I think they broke that mold when they signed a "troubled" Corey Dillon. The reason? I really think it's because the Patriots already had veteran presences at multiple positions at that point. Patriots owner Bob Kraft trusted GM Scott Pioli and Coach Bill Belichick to bring in players they feel may not have the best attitude, but will be kept in check by the veterans on the team.
That said, the Patriots need LBs, CBs, and Safeties. Meriweather is an excellent talent and value here. He is extremely athletic and versatile, being able to play both CB and S. This bodes well for him in Belichick's system. Extremely reliable open field tackler. Can probably stand to gain about 10 or 12 pounds and bulk up a bit. He is a born leader with a hitman mentality. Leads by example, and is accountable for when he screws up, both on the field (missing a tackle) and off/on the field (Florida International brawl this past season). He's been humbled by the incident and through the Combine interviews and will work harder to prove that isn't the way he really is. Incredible motor and very explosive. Not someone that you want tackling you. Excellent in both supporting the run and in coverage. Can be used at Strong or Free, but better as a Free Safety.
Meriweather could be a great pick here, especially if he has the chance to learn from Rodney Harrison and Eugene Wilson. In a pinch, he could help out when Asante Samuel is either traded or his franchise contract expires next year.
Baltimore Ravens
Jon Beason
LB * Miami * Height: 6-01/4 * Weight: 237 * 40-Time: 4.72
The Ravens were most likely not expecting Adalius Thomas to up and leave them for the Patriots so soon. They surely thought they would have a chance to get a chance to bid for him, but with Thomas being extremely happy with the offer from New England they never got the chance. Instead, they'll look to the draft to help them fill that hole.
Originally I have them snagging Anthony Spencer here, as he reminds me the most of Thomas, but with Beason still on the board and yet another Hurricane, I can't see Brian Billick passing on him.
Beason isn't very imposing size wise, but makes up for it in his speed. Some clock him at 4.55, but his Combine time is 4.72. Tied for the 4th lowest total in the bench at his position. Maxed out his frame so he won't be able to add bulk, but can definitely add strength. Needs to get better when dropping into coverage, but with a great secondary like the Ravens he should have more than enough time to get better in this area. A solid reliable tackler. Has a great burst and can close impressively. Always explodes through his tackles. Instincts are above average, especially against the run. Never quit attitude and has a nonstop motor that can reach another level sometimes. Can play hurt.
San Diego Chargers
Dwayne Bowe
WR * LSU * Height: 6-21/4 * Weight: 221 * 40-Time: 4.50
The Chargers need someone to take passes over the middle from Philip Rivers. They need someone that has size and speed to free up Antonio Gates. Bowe can be that and more.
Sometimes when players slip, it has little or nothing to do with what they have done in workouts and interviews. This is the case with Bowe. Bowe has slipped this far only because he has such great competition and teams have other needs. If teams tend to lean more towards their wants and value, Bowe will be gone in the low 20s and won't be here.
For such a big guy, he is fast. Like Jarrett, any jump ball is his to lose. He has long arms and great hands. He is very strong in his lower body which helps him break tackles, especially any pansy ones from Flack.
Because of his lack of high school football experience, he is still a bit raw in his route running and cuts. Once he gets his technique down pat he could be a huge threat.
Compared by some to Andre Johnson or Donte Stallworth.
Chicago Bears
Justin Harrel - DT * Tennessee * Height: 6-43/8 * Weight: 300 * 40-Time: 5.10
Even though the Bears just went to the Super Bowl they have a number of needs. Lance Briggs could be traded during or after the draft. Even if he's not, they have no shot at singing him to a long term deal so the most they'll have him for is one season. They really could get better at every single position and have needs all over the place, more specifically at DT, RB, TE, the entire offensive line and QB.
To be honest, the first few times I did this mock I had them selecting Auburn Guard Ben Grubbs, but Lovie Smith is a defensive minded coach and they need help everywhere and this is great value. Couple that with the fact that Grubbs could be there in a few more picks when they pick again at pick 37 and they could address two huge holes on both lines.
Harrel is a run stopper, not a pass rusher. Almost the same mold as Ted Washington, just a hell of a lot lighter. Average strength on the bench (24 reps) at his position, but plays stronger than his numbers. Very aggressive and tough, especially mentally. He is a hole closer and gap crasher. Very good at staying low and moving the pocket. Has a great quick burst of speed but isn't fast. He is a good size, but needs to get more explosive. Sometimes gets caught off guard and has issues getting off blocks. Very aggressive stopping the run, but seems out of place when he needs to rush the QB. Has some durability concerns that has caused him to slip. Many think had he not torn his biceps during the Florida game he would have been select as high as 16. Excellent value for any team that takes him in this part of the draft.
Indianapolis Colts
Anthony Spencer
DE/LB * Purdue * Height: 6-2 7/8 * Weight: 261 * 40-Time: 4.73
If there is something the Colts need it is a pass rusher. With Dwight Freeney franchise tagged and not expected to be able to be signed, and Cato June leaving for Tampa Bay Spencer's versatility and tweener status really give him a shot to be a great pickup for the Colts here.
Had 26.5 tackles for loss in his Senior year. Extremely good at cone drills and shuttles at the Combine. Very elusive.
Spencer is extremely quick and explosive. Is a solid hitter and tackler. Has excellent closing speed and backside pursuit. Could become a lot better at diagnosing the play faster. Needs to be more flexible. Major weakness is lack of pass-rush moves, coupled with a size issue. This could be an issue for some teams.
Round 2:
Oakland Raiders – Tony Ugoh – OT – Arkansas
Detroit Lions – Trent Edwards – QB – Stanford
Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Turk McBride – DT – Tennessee
Cleveland Browns – Antonio Pittman – RB – Ohio State
Chicago Bears (from Washington through New York Jets) – Ben Grubbs * G * Auburn
Arizona Cardinals – Eric Wright – CB – UNLV
Atlanta Falcons (from Houston) – Charles Johnson – DE – Georgia
Miami Dolphins – Drew Stanton – QB – Michigan State
Minnesota Vikings – Anthony Gonzalez – WR – Ohio State
San Francisco 49ers – Steve Smith – WR – USC
Buffalo Bills – Marcus McCauley – CB – Fresno State
Atlanta Falcons – Justin Blalock – OT – Texas
Carolina Panthers – Tanard Jackson – S/CB – Syracuse
Pittsburgh Steelers – Brian Leonard – FB – Rutgers
Green Bay Packers – Zach Miller – TE – Arizona
Jacksonville Jaguars – Tim Crowder – DE – Texas
Cincinnati Bengals – Tank Tyler – DT – NC State
Tennessee Titans – Josh Wilson – CB – Maryland
New York Giants – Kenny Irons – RB – Auburn
St. Louis Rams – Ryan Kalil – C – USC
Dallas Cowboys – Robert Meachem – WR – Tennessee
Kansas City Chiefs – Arron Sears – G – Tennessee
Seattle Seahawks – Eric Weddle – S/CB – Utah
Denver Broncos – Sidney Rice –WR – South Carolina
Philadelphia Eagles – David Harris – LB – Michigan
New Orleans Saints – Buster Davis – LB – Florida State
New York Jets – Ben Patrick – TE – Georgia
Miami Dolphins (from New England) – Paul Soliai – DT – Utah
Baltimore Ravens – Stewart Bradley – LB – Nebraska
San Diego Chargers – Craig Davis – WR - LSU
New York Jets (from Chicago) – Jonathan Wade – CB – Tennessee
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (from Indianapolis) – Marshal Yanda – OT – Iowa
Round 3:
Oakland Raiders – LaMarr Woodley – DE – Michigan
Detroit Lions – Brian Robison – DE - Texas
Cleveland Browns – Josh Beekman – OL – Boston College
Tampa Bay Buccaneers –Aaron Rouse – S – Virginia Tech
Arizona Cardinals – Quincy Black – OLB – New Mexico
Denver Broncos (from Washington) – Selvin Young – RB – Texas
Miami Dolphins – Clifton Ryan – DT – Michigan State
Minnesota Vikings – Ikaika Alama-Francis – DE - Hawaii
Houston Texans – Jason Hill WR – Washington State
Buffalo Bills – Matt Spaeth – TE - Minnesota
Atlanta Falcons – Michael Bush – RB - Louisville
San Francisco 49ers – Rufus Alexander – OLB - Oklahoma
Pittsburgh Steelers – Samson Satele – C - Hawaii
Green Bay Packers – Paul Williams – WR – Fresno State
Jacksonville Jaguars – John Beck – QB – BYU
Cincinnati Bengals – FORFEITED
Tennessee Titans – Chris Henry – RB - Arizona
New York Giants – Justin Durant – OLB - Hampton
St. Louis Rams – Quentin Moses – DE - Georgia
Carolina Panthers - James Marten - OT – Boston College
Kansas City Chiefs – Jay Moore – DE - Nebraska
Seattle Seahawks – Daymeion Hughes – CB - California
Denver Broncos – DeMarcus Tyler – DT – North Carolina State
Dallas Cowboys – Ryan Harris – OT – Notre Dame
New Orleans Saints – Martrez Milner -TE - Georgia
New York Jets – Tim Shaw – LB – Penn State
Philadelphia Eagles - Troy Smith – QB – Ohio State
New England Patriots – Lorenzo Booker – RB – Florida State
Buffalo Bills (from Baltimore) – Darius Walker – RB – Notre Dame
San Diego Chargers –
Chicago Bears – Manuel Ramirez – OG – Texas Tech
Indianapolis Colts – Ryan McBean – DT – Oklahoma State
San Diego Chargers – Brandon Siler – ILB - Florida
San Francisco 49ers – Sabby Piscitelli – S – Oregon State
Indianapolis Colts – Brandon Jackson – RB – Nebraska
Oakland Raiders – Aundrae Allison - WR – East Carolina
Round 4:
Oakland Raiders – Andy Alleman – G - Akron
Detroit Lions – Fred Bennett – CB - South Carolina
Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Victor Abiamiri – DE – Notre Dame
Cleveland Browns – Courtney Taylor – WR - Auburn
San Francisco 49ers (from Washington) – Tony Hunt – RB – Penn State
Arizona Cardinals – James Marten – OT – Boston College
Minnesota Vikings – Leroy Harris – OL - NC State
Houston Texans – Kevin Kolb – QB – Houston
Miami Dolphins – Mario Henderson – OT – Florida State
Atlanta Falcons – Jacoby Jones – WR – Lane College
San Francisco 49ers – Enoka Lucas – C - Oregon
Buffalo Bills – Kenny Scott – CB – Georgia Tech
Green Bay Packers – Brandon Mebane – DT - California
Jacksonville Jaguars – Ryan Harris – OT – Notre Dame
Cincinnati Bengals – Ray McDonald – DL - Florida
Tennessee Titans – Tarell Brown – CB - Texas
New York Giants – Rheme McKnight – WR - Notre Dame
St. Louis Rams – David Clowney – WR – Virginia Tech
Carolina Panthers – LeRon McClain – FB - Alabama
Pittsburgh Steelers – Quinn Pitcock – DT – Ohio State
Seattle Seahawks – Marvin White – S – TCU
Atlanta Falcons (from Denver) – Doug Free – OT – Northern Illinois
Dallas Cowboys – Josh Gattis – S – Wake Forest
New Orleans Saints (from K.C.) – Michael Coe - CB – Alabama State
San Francisco 49ers (from New York Jets) – David Patterson – DT – Ohio State
New Orleans Saints (from Philly) – Marcus Thomas – DT - Florida
New Orleans Saints – Walter Thomas – DT – NW Mississippi JC
New England Patriots – Zak DeOssie – LB - Brown
Tennessee Titans (from Baltimore) – Allen Barbre – OT – Missouri Southern State
San Diego Chargers – Roy Hall – WR – Ohio State
Chicago Bears – David Clowney – WR – Virginia Tech
Indianapolis Colts – Jermon Bushrod – OT – Towson
Pittsburgh Steelers (Comp Pick) - Daniel Sepulveda – P – Baylor
Atlanta Falcons (Comp Pick) – Brandon McDonald – CB - Memphis
Baltimore Ravens (Comp Pick) – Michael Allen – TE – Whitworth COllege
San Francisco 49ers (Comp Pick) – A.J. Davis – CB – NC State
Indianapolis Colts (Comp Pick) – Antonio Johnson – DT – Mississippi State
Baltimore Ravens (Comp Pick) – Johnnie Lee Higgins – WR - UTEP
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